On January 1, 2006, a leading
financial daily reported the trailing 1-year and 5-year returns
of Fidelity Contrafund (Nasdaq: FCNTX), a
no-load mutual fund, as 16.23% and 6.21%
respectively. While the financial daily’s return information
is useful, there is more to mutual fund returns.
Is the performance of the fund superior or
inferior?
How tax-efficient is the fund in delivering these returns?
Are the returns of the fund commensurate with the risk the
fund manager has taken to achieve them?
Savvy investors will seek answers to such
questions when evaluating mutual fund returns. Before getting
into the nitty-gritty of mutual fund returns, it is good to
understand what the data reported in the financial daily really
mean.
Total Return
Fidelity Contra’s reported 16.23% 1-year
return is the fund’s total return for
the December 31, 2004 to December 31, 2005 period. In practical
terms, $10,000 invested in the fund on December 31, 2004 is
worth $11,623 on December 31, 2005. The total return includes
more than the increase (or decrease) in the fund's share price.
It also assumes reinvestment of all dividends as well as short-
and long-term capital gain distributions into the fund at
the price at which each distribution is made.
Compound Annual Return
The reported 6.21% 5-year return is the fund’s compound
annual return (also called the average annual return).
The compound annual return is a calculated number that describes
the rate at which the investment has grown assuming uniform
year-over-year growth during the 5-year period.
A $10,000 investment in the Contrafund on
December 31, 2000 has grown to $13,515.34 on December 31,
2005. The ending value of $13,515.34 = $10,000[(1 + 0.0621)^5]
where 6.21% is the compound annual return. The investment
in the fund grew at an implied annual growth rate of 6.21%
over the 5-year period.
While total return and compound annual return
are useful, they do not tell how a particular mutual fund
has performed compared to its peers. They also do not provide
information on the return actually earned by investors after
accounting for taxes. Finally, they do not offer insight on
how well the fund manager has managed risk while achieving
the returns.
Relative Return
Relative return compares the performance of a mutual fund
against its peers. It is the difference between the total
return of the fund and the total return of an appropriate
benchmark over the same period.
Fidelity Contra is a large-cap growth fund
that primarily invests in U.S.-based companies. It is therefore
appropriate to compare its performance with that of an average
large-cap growth fund. It is also relevant to benchmark the
fund against the Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 500
index, comprising of large U.S.-based companies.
While Fidelity Contra has a compound annual
return of 6.21% for the 5-year period ending December 31,
2005, Morningstar reports the average large-cap growth fund
has an average annual loss of 8.48% over the same period.
The S&P 500 index has an average annual return of 0.54%
over the same period. Fidelity Contra has outperformed with
a relative return of 14.69% over the average large-cap growth
fund and with a relative return of 5.67% over an S&P 500
index fund.
After-Tax Return
Unlike assets held in qualified accounts such as 401k plans
or individual retirement accounts (IRA), assets held in regular
individual or joint accounts are not tax-deferred. For such
non-qualified accounts, after-tax return is the return realized
after accounting for taxes.
Short-term capital gains and short-term capital
gain distributions from a mutual fund are currently taxed
at the same rate as earned income. Dividends, long-term capital
gain distributions and long-term capital gains realized from
the sale of fund shares are currently taxed at a lower rate.
Fidelity states the compound annual return
for Fidelity Contra before taxes is 6.21% for the 5-year period
ending on December 31, 2005. When all distributions are taxed
at the respective maximum possible federal income-tax rate,
the after-tax return dips to 6.10%. The after-tax return drops
further to 5.33% after accounting for the long-term capital
gain tax due on sale of the fund shares.
Risk-Adjusted Return
Some fund managers take more risk than others. It is important
to assess a fund’s return in light of the amount of
risk the fund manager takes to deliver that return.
Risk-Adjusted Return is commonly measured
using the Sharpe Ratio. The ratio is calculated using the
formula (mutual fund return - risk free return)/standard deviation
of mutual fund return. The higher the Sharpe ratio, the better
is the fund’s return per unit risk.
Based on returns for the 3-year period ending
on November 30, 2005, Morningstar reports Fidelity Contra’s
Sharpe ratio as 1.74. The fund’s Sharpe Ratio may be
compared with those of similar funds to determine how the
fund’s risk-adjusted return compares with those of its
peers.
Beyond Mutual Funds
Return concepts such as relative return, after-tax return,
and risk-adjusted return may also be used for evaluating separately-managed
accounts, hedge funds and investment newsletter model portfolios.
The AlphaProfit Sector Investors’ Newsletter,
for example, tracks the total return and compounded annual
return of its Core and Focus model portfolios. To provide
Subscribers with a more complete picture of model portfolio
returns, this newsletter also tracks the relative and risk-adjusted
returns of the model portfolios. The newsletter’s model
portfolios are constructed and repositioned with a view to
maximizing after-tax returns.
Summary
While total return and compound annual return are useful,
they do not provide a complete picture of a mutual fund’s
performance. Metrics such as relative return and after-tax
return offer insights on the fund’s relative performance
and tax-efficiency. Risk-adjusted returns enable investors
to assess how a fund’s returns stack up when risk is
factored in.
Notes: This report is for information
purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer
to buy or sell securities or to give individual investment
advice. This report does not have regard to the specific investment
objectives, financial situation, and particular needs of any
specific person who may receive this report. The information
contained in this report is obtained from various sources
believed to be accurate and is provided without warranties
of any kind. AlphaProfit Investments, LLC does not represent
that this information, including any third party information,
is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as
such.
AlphaProfit Investments, LLC is not responsible for
any errors or omissions herein. Opinions expressed herein
reflect the opinion of AlphaProfit Investments, LLC and are
subject to change without notice. AlphaProfit Investments,
LLC disclaims any liability for any direct or incidental loss
incurred by applying any of the information in this report.
The third-party trademarks or service marks appearing within
this report are the property of their respective owners. All
other trademarks appearing herein are the property of
AlphaProfit
Investments, LLC. Owners and employees of AlphaProfit Investments,
LLC for their own accounts invest in the Fidelity Mutual Funds
included in the AlphaProfit Core and Focus model portfolios.
AlphaProfit Investments, LLC neither is associated with nor
receives any compensation from Fidelity Investments or other
mutual fund companies mentioned in this report. Past performance
is neither an indication of nor a guarantee for future results.
No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without
written permission of AlphaProfit Investments, LLC. Copyright
© 2006 AlphaProfit Investments, LLC. All rights reserved.
About the author:
Sam Subramanian, Ph.D, MBA is Managing Principal of
AlphaProfit Investments, LLC. He edits the AlphaProfit
Sector Investors’ Newsletter™. The investment
newsletter is ranked #1 by Hulbert Financial Digest.
As of December 31, 2005, the investment newsletter’s
model portfolios have gained up to 87.8% since start
of publication on September 30, 2003. The Dow Jones
Wilshire 5000 index has gained 34.6% during the same
period. To learn more about the newsletter, visit http://www.alphaprofit.com
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